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Policy

Citadel Asks SEC to Regulate Prediction Markets Tied to Public Companies

Citadel Securities has asked US regulators to reaffirm that the Securities and Exchange Commission should be the primary overseer of event contracts linked to US public companies and their se

AnonymousCryptoCompass newsroom
September 13, 2026
4 min read
NEWS
Citadel Asks SEC to Regulate Prediction Markets Tied to Public Companies
CryptoCompass editorial visual for policy coverage.

Citadel Securities has asked US regulators to reaffirm that the Securities and Exchange Commission should be the primary overseer of event contracts linked to US public companies and their securities. The September 9 submission was made to a joint SEC-CFTC consultation on how the agencies define “swap” and “security-based swap,” a distinction that could determine which regulator supervises certain equity-linked prediction-market products.

In its comment letter, Citadel said contracts tied to company key performance indicators, or KPIs, may constitute security-based swaps. It warned that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s self-certification process could otherwise be used to bypass SEC jurisdiction.

The filing places a narrow category of event contracts at the centre of a wider regulatory question: whether a contract framed around a corporate outcome should be treated as an event-market product under CFTC rules or as a securities-linked instrument subject to SEC oversight.

Citadel’s filing in the SEC-CFTC docket

Citadel submitted its letter under File No. S7-2026-21, the SEC’s joint request for comment with the CFTC on the definitions of “swap” and “security-based swap,” as well as alternative compliance. The SEC’s public docket lists the submission as part of that consultation.

The request focuses on event contracts linked to US public companies and their securities, not on placing all event contracts under SEC oversight. Citadel highlighted contracts tied to corporate KPIs and argued that those arrangements may be security-based swaps.

Citadel urged the SEC and CFTC to preserve the SEC’s position as the primary regulator for the products at issue. Because the submission was made in a definitions proceeding, it presents Citadel’s view of the jurisdictional boundary rather than a regulatory decision.

KPI contracts and the jurisdictional test

The products highlighted by Citadel are contracts tied to corporate KPIs. The letter argues that such arrangements may be security-based swaps, a classification that would place them within the SEC’s remit.

That position turns on the product’s connection to a public company and its securities rather than on the broader label of prediction market. The Block reported that Citadel specifically pointed to KPI contracts tied to public companies and said equity-linked products should remain within the SEC’s regulatory and surveillance framework.

Citadel’s argument turns on whether an event contract’s link to a listed company’s performance measures is potentially enough to trigger the securities-side framework. The firm is asking regulators not to assess such a product solely through the CFTC’s event-contract regime.

Citadel’s objection to CFTC self-certification

Citadel’s concern is directed at CFTC self-certification, the route it says could permit equity-linked event contracts to reach the market without SEC jurisdiction being applied. The letter characterises that outcome as a potential bypass where a contract tied to corporate KPIs may instead meet the test for a security-based swap.

The dispute therefore concerns regulatory routing as much as product design. If the SEC is the primary regulator, Citadel’s position is that the contracts should remain subject to its oversight and surveillance framework; if products can be listed through the CFTC path without that determination, the firm says the SEC’s jurisdiction could be avoided.

The comment record sets out no outcome. Instead, the consultation gives the SEC and CFTC a forum to receive views on their statutory definitions and alternative compliance, while Citadel’s submission presents a market participant’s case for retaining a clear SEC role in the public-company-linked segment.

The CFTC’s event-contract rulemaking agenda

In June, the CFTC proposed rules for evaluating event contracts as it worked on a broader federal framework for prediction markets. The agency also said it had observed rapid growth in contracts listed by CFTC-registered entities.

Citadel Securities’ request comes against that backdrop: the firm is seeking a line that would keep event contracts tied to public-company KPIs and securities from being treated solely as commodity-market matters.

The CFTC proposal and the SEC-CFTC definitions docket concern related but distinct parts of the regulatory landscape. Their overlap is the question of how federal oversight should be allocated when a contract is structured around a corporate outcome connected to a publicly traded company.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.