Clarity Act Passage Odds: Sources Give Conflicting Figures

CryptoBriefing and Bitcoin.com News both cover the Senate GOP's revised Clarity Act but cite different prediction-market odds for its passage.

CryptoBriefing and Bitcoin.com News both cover the Senate GOP's revised Clarity Act but cite different prediction-market odds for its passage.

What all sources agree on

• Senate Republicans released a revised draft of the Clarity Act incorporating a Trump-backed ethics proposal.
• The updated text includes an ethics provision involving divesting crypto-linked financial interests or placing them in a blind trust.
• The draft allows state attorneys general to enforce ethics or digital-asset prohibitions.
• The revised text includes a 'circuit breaker' provision giving Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent authority related to stablecoin-driven deposit flight from community banks.
• The revisions were released ahead of a Tuesday Senate vote.

Where the reports disagree

1Prediction-market odds of the Clarity Act's passage/enactment

Market pricing indicates a rise in the likelihood of the Clarity Act being signed into law, with odds moving from 14% to 21.5% over the past week.

CryptoBriefing 2026-09-14 02:05

The concessions raised the bill's passage odds to 30% on Polymarket ahead of Tuesday's Senate vote.

Bitcoin.com News 2026-09-14 03:22

What would settle it: The relevant prediction-market platform's own historical odds data (e.g., Polymarket order book/history) at the time of publication.

What to make of it

Treat the substantive provisions of the revised Clarity Act (ethics rules, state AG enforcement, stablecoin circuit breaker) as established across sources; the specific prediction-market percentage for passage odds is reported differently and should not be cited as a settled figure until checked against the named platform's own data.

Treat the substantive provisions of the revised Clarity Act (ethics rules, state AG enforcement, stablecoin circuit breaker) as established across sources; the specific prediction-market percentage for passage odds is reported differently and should not be cited as a settled figure until checked against the named platform's own data.

Update 14 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC · added by Coinfomania

Coinfomania reports that the newly released Clarity Act text specifically revises the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, with the outlet flagging “significant changes” to its compliance provisions; it also teases a Trump-related angle, though details are not fully specified in the available lead.

Update 14 Sep 2026, 04:25 UTC · added by The Block

The Block reports that President Trump has accepted most of the ethics provisions in the revised Clarity Act, including restrictions that would limit officials and their spouses from engaging in crypto-related dealings, and that Senate Republicans have released what they are calling a “final” draft of the bill.

Originally reported by AltcoinGordon, written by Olivia Hayes. Republished with permission.

View the original on AltcoinGordon →

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