This XRP price prediction starts with a simple fact. The token is trading near $1.25 after a sharp drop last week, and the price has moved sideways for three days. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands
This XRP price prediction starts with a simple fact. The token is trading near $1.25 after a sharp drop last week, and the price has moved sideways for three days.
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have squeezed to their narrowest level since August. The last time that happened, the token jumped 71% in just three days.
A squeeze does not show direction, though. It only says a bigger move may be close.
The token sits at $1.2527, down 0.68% in 24 hours. Market cap is $79.01 billion, with 63.35 billion coins in circulation. Spot volume is $360.48 million.
Here are the levels that shape this XRP price prediction right now.
Level
Price
What it means
Bullish trigger
4H close above $1.27
Buyers may gain control
Bearish trigger
4H close below $1.23
Sellers may take over
No-trade zone
$1.23 to $1.27
Price is stuck in a range
First recovery test
$1.28 to $1.30
Early sign of a bounce
Stronger resistance
$1.33 to $1.36
Heavy supply area
Major overhead level
$1.50
Dashed line on the daily chart
Support zone
$1.24 to $1.22
Break could open at $1.20 and $1.15
Analyst Ali Charts shared the 4-hour chart with the tight bands. A close above $1.27 is bullish for him, and a close below $1.23 is bearish.
Until one of those happens, $1.23 to $1.27 is a no-trade zone. That is a fair view. Low volatility often comes before a sharp move, but nobody knows which way it breaks.
On the daily chart, the price has broken below its descending channel support. It now trades under all four major moving averages.
Indicator
Value
20 EMA
$1.3006
50 EMA
$1.3366
100 EMA
$1.3243
200 EMA
$1.3637
RSI (14)
37.45
RSI average
39.87
The RSI sits below its own average, which shows momentum still favors sellers. Still, the last three candles are small. That hints at a pause, and a short relief bounce is possible.
If $1.24 to $1.22 fails, the next stops are $1.20 and then $1.15. For any XRP price prediction, a daily breakout above $1.28 to $1.30 would be the first real sign of recovery. The $1.50 level is far above for now.
Futures volume hit $1.99 billion, up 50.55%. Open interest stands at $2.92 billion. Options volume rose 59.25% to $5.49 million, and options open interest is $62.41 million, up 5.64%.
Long/short ratios lean bullish, but the picture is not the same everywhere.
Metric
Ratio
24-hour long/short
0.8208
Binance XRP/USDT (accounts)
2.5714
OKX XRP (accounts)
3.5
Binance top traders (accounts)
3.0225
Binance top traders (positions)
2.0927
Retail accounts lean long. Top traders hold fewer long positions than the account count suggests, which is worth noting.
Over 24 hours, liquidations reached $2.39 million. Longs took $2.20 million, and shorts only $196.21K.
Period
Total
Long
Short
1 hour
$43.56K
$43.56K
$0
4 hours
$66.01K
$65.44K
$570.17
12 hours
$1.93M
$1.87M
$61.43K
24 hours
$2.39M
$2.20M
$196.21K
Analyst Cryptoinsightuk pointed to a gap between price and positioning. Open interest rose 6.7% while price slipped 0.15%, and funding stayed positive.
That mix usually means new money comes from leveraged longs. A drop under $1.24 could trigger a chain of long liquidations before any steady recovery.
US spot XRP ETFs saw a net outflow of $529.51K on November 2. Cumulative net inflows still sit at $1.81 billion.
Total trading value was $18.26 million. Net assets are $1.42 billion, about 1.80% of the market cap.
Fund
Net assets
Bitwise
$518.55M
Franklin
$387.48M
Canary
$304.33M
On the network side, Santiment reported 7,934 new wallets on November 1. That was the sixth-highest day of 2026, and it came on a Sunday, usually a quiet day. The jump followed the Binance hack, which may have pushed users toward self-custody.
If new wallets stay above roughly 4K per day while price reclaims $1.30, the setup looks better. A fall under $1.20 with wallets below 3K would weaken it.
At the Swell event, CEO Brad Garlinghouse spoke about payments, corporate treasury, and prime brokerage. Ripple processed over $16 trillion in 2025, but 99.9% stayed on traditional finance rails.
He wants to move 1% to 3% of that activity on-chain next year. He also said the RLUSD stablecoin supports XRP and does not replace it.
In this XRP price prediction, the $1.25 level is the pivot, and $1.30 is the first area that would confirm stronger momentum.
Bulls need a strong close above the range. Bears need a clean break under $1.23. The next strong daily candle will likely set the tone.
This article is for information only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Crypto assets are volatile, and you can lose some or all of your money. Price predictions are not guaranteed. Do your own research and speak with a licensed financial advisor before making any decision.
