Solana Price Eyes $100 as SOL Breakout Tests Key $78 Resistance

TLDR:

• Solana price holds a higher-low structure above $75, while a confirmed break through $78 to $78.70 could strengthen the path toward $80 and $82.
• Ali Charts identifies a parallel channel, TD Sequential buy signal, and MACD golden cross that could support a conditional move toward $100.
• US spot Solana ETFs recorded zero daily inflows on August 7, while total assets stayed near $869.97 million and historical net inflows held near $1.15 billion.
• SOL needs to defend $76 and $75 to preserve the short-term bullish structure, as a breakdown could expose $74 before stronger support near $72.

The Solana price is testing a key technical area near $78 after extending a higher-low structure from the $72 support zone. SOL traded near $76.47 as the move keeps attention on resistance between $78 and $78.70, where a confirmed breakout could strengthen the case for $80. 

Market analyst Ali Charts also identified a broader parallel channel pointing toward $100 if buyers clear the mid-range. Meanwhile, traders are balancing that setup against flat Solana ETF flows and renewed policy uncertainty around the CLARITY Act. That combination leaves price action dependent on technical confirmation rather than a single ETF session or policy headline.

2/5 Solana appears to be trading within a parallel channel.

A break above the mid-range near $78 could trigger a move toward the channel’s upper boundary around $100 for $SOL. pic.twitter.com/c0fU5BTmgp

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) August 9, 2026

Solana Price Breakout Faces a Critical Test Near $78

SOL has recovered since defending support at $72 and reclaiming $75. The four-hour structure shows a rising channel, while higher lows keep the trend constructive. However, the $78 area remains the barrier. A decisive break could open the way toward $80 before traders assess the next resistance near $82.

Ali Charts sees the same region as the key trigger for a broader move. His chart places Solana inside a parallel channel with its midpoint near $78. He also identified setup resistance around $78.70. Clearing that zone could shift attention toward the channel’s upper boundary near $100. The analyst also highlighted a daily TD Sequential buy signal and a MACD golden cross.

Momentum readings still require caution. The Relative Strength Index sits near 71.14, placing SOL slightly inside overbought territory. The MACD line remains above its signal line, while the positive histogram supports current upside momentum. Still, the histogram appears to be flattening, suggesting the pace of buying may be easing.

4/5 Meanwhile, the MACD has printed a golden cross, which is another sign that Solana may be approaching a bullish breakout. pic.twitter.com/a1lnQXcefC

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) August 9, 2026

Support now sits close to $76, followed by the more important $75 level. A drop below $75 would weaken the rising channel and expose $74. Further selling could bring the stronger $72 support back into focus. Earlier Solana price analysis also identified the high-$70 area as an important technical zone.

Broader market conditions also matter. Bitcoin has tested the $65,000 area, while Ethereum has held above $1,900. The Senate has pushed further CLARITY Act consideration beyond the August recess, keeping regulatory uncertainty in focus. The Senate Majority Leader, John Thune, filed a procedural motion setting up consideration after lawmakers return.

Solana ETF Flows Stall as Assets Approach $870 Million

United States spot Solana ETFs recorded no fresh inflows on August 7, based on SoSoValue data. Total net assets stood near $869.97 million, representing about 2.02% of Solana’s market capitalization. Historical net inflows held near $1.15 billion, while combined trading value reached roughly $40.63 million.

Bitwise’s BSOL led the category with about $594.45 million in assets and $27.48 million in daily trading. Fidelity’s FSOL followed with $125.41 million, while Grayscale’s GSOL held about $96.81 million. All listed products recorded zero daily inflows, although most fund prices gained more than 1.6% during that session.

SoSoValue’s broader crypto ETF tracker has recently placed aggregate Solana ETF assets near the same $870 million area. Daily flows can pause even when product assets stay elevated. That distinction matters when traders assess institutional demand alongside short-term price movement.

The next technical test remains concentrated around $78 and $78.70. Holding above $76 would preserve the immediate higher-low setup. A clean breakout could bring $80 and $82 into view, while the wider channel leaves $100 as a conditional target. Failure below $75 would shift attention back toward $74 and $72.

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