The crypto crash reached its next stage on Saturday. Bitcoin is trading below $66,000, ether below $1,850, and the crypto market as a whole has lost between 3 and 7 percent in 24 hours, depen
The crypto crash reached its next stage on Saturday. Bitcoin is trading below $66,000, ether below $1,850, and the crypto market as a whole has lost between 3 and 7 percent in 24 hours, depending on the data provider. Before you think about buying the dip or selling, two things matter this weekend: how far your leveraged positions are from their liquidation price, and the loan-to-value ratio of any crypto loan. Both come with a deadline, and both can run out faster than Monday arrives.
This guide puts the situation in context. It contains no price forecast. Using examples you can recalculate, it shows where the risks lie. How losses are treated for tax purposes depends on the rules of your country of residence, which this guide does not cover.
On Saturday evening one Bitcoin cost around $65,850, or just under €59,740, according to CoinGecko, a fall of 4.4 percent in 24 hours. The trade outlet TokenPost puts the gap to the September 21 high of $87,395 at almost 25 percent. The slump is sharper still for Ethereum: ether fell to around $1,840, roughly 35 percent below its September high of $2,807.
Altcoins are losing more than bitcoin, the market's lead currency. Solana gave up just over 9 percent in 24 hours according to CoinGecko, and XRP almost 7 percent, leaving it below one dollar. Figures for the overall market diverge. CoinGecko measures a drop of 6.8 percent to $2.25 trillion, while TokenPost cites 3.3 percent to $2.35 trillion. The gap comes from the providers' different time windows and coin lists. The direction is clear, though: according to TokenPost, around $686 billion in market value has vanished since September 22.
How far the bitcoin price has slipped in technical terms is covered in our Saturday afternoon analysis of the break below the 200-week line. This article picks up where the price question ends: with your positions.
A bitcoin crash at the weekend plays out differently from one during the week. Crypto exchanges trade 24 hours a day, seven days a week; exchange-traded products do not. The US spot ETFs on bitcoin and ether only reopen on Monday at 15:30 Central European Time, and crypto ETNs on Xetra trade only on weekdays as well. If you hold your bitcoin through an ETF or an ETN, you cannot react before Monday, and you do not have to.
Liquidity in the order books is also thinner at the weekend. Fewer buy and sell orders mean that even medium-sized sell orders move the price more. These are exactly the phases in which panic spreads easily, as stop-loss orders and forced closures trigger one another. The technical term is a liquidation cascade: one leveraged position is closed, the resulting selling pressure pushes the price down, and the next position hits its liquidation price.
The figures of the past few days show how overheated the futures market was. For the 24 hours to Saturday afternoon, our bitcoin analysis of November 14 reported liquidations of more than $1.2 billion, the vast majority of them long positions. Current figures by exchange are published by data providers such as CoinGlass.
No single cause of the crypto crash can be proven. Three reasons keep coming up in this week's reports. First, investors have been pulling money out of the US spot ETFs since early November; according to our analysis of November 14, the largest fund, IBIT, recorded a long run of outflow days. Second, after persistently high inflation, the market expects the US Federal Reserve to raise rather than cut rates at its meeting on December 8 and 9. Higher rates make credit more expensive and make assets without a running yield less attractive. Third, risk appetite in equity markets has faded, above all in tech stocks, with which bitcoin has recently moved in close step.
One point matters for how you read this: these factors explain the mood, but they say nothing about where the bottom lies. Anyone making a decision now should therefore base it on their own position, not on a narrative about causes that may reverse within a week.
Whether the correction turns into a longer crypto winter like the one in 2022 cannot be said from today's vantage point. As long as US rate cuts fail to materialise, many investors lack an important reason to channel new capital into cryptocurrencies. In such an environment, demand tends to come from long-term buyers with savings plans rather than from short-term traders.
Leverage in a crypto crash: the higher it is, the shorter the path to liquidation.
The liquidation price is the price at which the exchange forcibly closes a leveraged position because the collateral posted (the margin) no longer covers the losses. It depends above all on the amount of leverage. Here is a simplified calculation for a long position with isolated margin, assuming a maintenance margin of 0.5 percent:
Leverage Entry Liquidation price (approx.) Distance from the $65,850 price 3x $70,000 $47,020 around 29 percent 5x $70,000 $56,350 around 14 percent 10x $70,000 $63,350 around 4 percentThe table shows why high leverage is so dangerous in a slump. Anyone who went in at $70,000 with tenfold leverage is now only about four percent away from forced closure, which is less than Saturday's daily move. The exact formula varies by exchange, fee model and type of margin. Our guide on how to calculate the liquidation price explains how to work out your own figure.
There are basically three levers: add margin, close part of the position or reduce the leverage. Each of them costs money or locks in losses. The difference between isolated and cross margin is important. With cross margin, your entire balance on the derivatives account is at stake, so a mistake in one position can drag others down with it. Also keep an eye on the funding rate: on perpetual futures, the long and short sides pay each other a balancing amount at fixed intervals, which shifts the calculation over a long weekend.
If you have posted bitcoin as collateral for a loan, a different figure matters: the loan-to-value ratio, or LTV for short. It shows how large the loan is relative to the current value of the collateral. If the ratio rises above a threshold set by the provider, a margin call follows, and the next step is the sale of the collateral.
A worked example using Saturday evening's prices: you have posted 0.5 bitcoin, which at the current price of around €59,740 is worth about €29,870. Your loan is €15,000, putting the LTV at 50.2 percent. If the bitcoin price falls by another 20 percent to around €47,790, the collateral is worth €23,895 and the ratio rises to 62.8 percent. In this example, a threshold of 75 percent would be reached at a price of €40,000, in other words after a further fall of 33 percent.
Thresholds differ markedly from provider to provider, and some platforms also sell collateral automatically at the weekend. Check your contract for the ratio at which you must top up and how much time you have to do so. What happens in a forced sale and what consequences it can have is described in our guide to the bitcoin loan with LTV and forced liquidation.
Nobody can reliably say whether now is a good time to buy. What you can set are rules that apply regardless of the next price move. A running savings plan automatically buys more units for the same amount during a slump, which is known as the cost-averaging effect. If you want to put in extra capital, you can split the amount into several tranches over weeks instead of investing it all on one day.
Stop-loss orders call for caution at the weekend. In thin order books, a triggered stop-market order may be filled well below the stop price; this difference is called slippage. A stop-limit order prevents that, but in a fast market it may not be filled at all. Both involve a trade-off, and neither is a guaranteed hedge.
Finally, custody. In periods of high uncertainty, the load on trading platforms rises. If you hold coins on an exchange, check whether the provider has a MiCA licence and how customer funds are held separately. Long-term holders can also move their coins to a wallet of their own. MiCA rules then no longer protect the custody, and responsibility for keys and backups lies entirely with you.
The fear in the market can be measured. The Fear and Greed Index from Alternative.me, which condenses volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment and market dominance into a value between 0 and 100, stood at 13 points on Saturday, after 20 the day before. That is the "extreme fear" zone. In past corrections, such readings often came close to lows, but not reliably: the index can stay in extreme territory for weeks, and a low reading is not a buy signal in itself.
Two dates matter for what happens next. On Monday, the first ETF data of the new week will show whether the outflows continue. On December 8 and 9, the Fed decides on interest rates. Until then, many traders expect the crypto market to stay nervous.
If you want to use the weekend, you can take two steps:
(As of November 14, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)
